TO: The New President
FROM: Jessica Milano,
Progressive Policy Institute
RE: Building America's 21st Century Infrastructure
In the not-too-distant past, the United States was the
world's undisputed leader in public infrastructure.
Ours was the nation with the best airports; the most
comprehensive railway network; the most sophisticated
communication and electricity grids; and an extensive interstate-
highway system.
For generations of Americans, these highways, trains, and
airports were symbols of our ingenuity, prosperity, and can-do
spirit. But they also reflected something even deeper: a
national commitment to individual freedom and unlimited
horizons.
Today, this advantage is disappearing. One can see it not
only in the spectacular failures of our aging bridges and
levees, but also in the day-to-day grind of bottlenecked
traffic, pothole-riddled roads, dysfunctional airports, and the vast stretches of
our nation still unserved by advanced telecommunications networks.
All of these shortfalls represent areas in which we have fallen behind other
advanced nations. Any American who has traveled in recent years to Western
Europe or East Asia has noticed the improvements other leading nations
have made: the fast inter-city trains of France; the state-of-the-art airports of
China and Japan; the widely accessible high-bandwidth Internet connections
of South Korea.
Then the American traveler comes home to the slow trains of Amtrak,
the chronic delays of Kennedy Airport, and the dearth of high-speed Internet
access in rural areas. The overall effect is a limiting of American
mobility, both physical and social. It is a contradiction of our basic interests
and values.
This erosion of our public resources is a civic shame, a drag on our economic
growth, and, in some cases, even a threat to safety. If we are to get America
moving again, your administration and the new Congress will need to make
key investments to reverse this decline.
The most straightforward explanation for this failure is a lack of adequate
funding. U.S. spending on infrastructure, as a percentage of Gross Domestic
Product (GDP), has declined by 50 percent since 1960. Spending today is
now well below where it needs to be -- and the cracks have, quite literally,
begun to show.
While the American Society of Civil Engineers (AS CE) estimates the
United States will need to raise $1.6 trillion just to repair and maintain our
existing infrastructure stock1 we are being outspent by our competitors.
The United States is currently investing less on infrastructure as a percentage
of GD P than Europe, China, and many emerging economies. In total,
emerging economies alone are likely to spend $1.2 trillion on infrastructure
in 2008.2
America spends only about 2 percent of GDP per year on infrastructure
investment (this includes federal, state, local, and private-sector spending).
By contrast, that number is about 5 percent in Europe and between 9 percent
and 12 percent in China.3 In developed economies, the average is about 3
percent of GDP, and for developing economies it is around 6 percent. While
the United States is trying to make a dent in its massive repair bill, other
countries are lapping us in new investment -- further shrinking the competitiveness
gap between America and the rest of the world.
With the economy slumping, fuel costs rising over time, and private capital
looking for new investment opportunities, infrastructure projects can boost
our global competitiveness and create jobs at the same time. Many studies
have pointed to a positive correlation between such investment and economic
growth.4
Economic analyses over the last 20 years have attempted to quantify
those benefits, and have come up with a wide range of estimates depending
on how the funds were spent. Almost all analysts agree, however,
that public spending generally produces "positive economic returns."5 A
recent World Bank study even estimates that under the right conditions,
"a 1% increase in a country's infrastructure stock is associated with a 1%
increase in the level of GDP."6
Infrastructure is defined as transportation (highways, roads, air, water, and
rail), utilities (water, gas, electricity, and telecommunications), and some other
public facilities such as schools, prisons, and the postal system. In short, it
is the nerve, sinew, and muscle of our economy and our society. When these
networks and systems get fatigued and run down, it is impossible for America
to operate at full health.
In order to understand the problem, we need to understand how the
United States currently pays for what we have. In 2004, $400 billion was
spent on infrastructure, of which the federal government provided $60
billion, or 15 percent of the total. State and local governments funded 42
percent, and the private sector covered the remainder.7
What is important to know here is that these three different funding sources
tend to spend their money on very different things. For example, federal
spending is dominated by transportation -- nearly 50 percent of Uncle Sam's
infrastructure spending goes toward highways. State and local government
spending is dominated by highways, schools, and water, which together account
for nearly 80 percent of the state-and-local sector's $175 billion public-works
bill. Private-sector infrastructure spending is dominated by energy and
telecommunications; these two spending categories alone account for nearly
80 percent of private infrastructure spending.
8
Despite this de facto specialization, there is no clear mandate on how to
set goals and allocate spending on infrastructure. Federal funding is subject
to annual budgeting and therefore highly susceptible to congressional pork.
Annual budgeting also means it can be difficult to design and fund projects
that require a longer time horizon or serve a greater national interest.
State and local projects that depend on local taxes for support -- like
schools -- can be severely affected by adverse local economic conditions that
make it difficult to raise funds. Even the private sector, despite the benefit
of market efficiency, can be slow to explore new opportunities, such as renewable
energy resources, when the current ones are still making considerable
profits.
Public investment is needed, but it is clear that government cannot, and
should not, shoulder the burden alone. As it happens, private capital investors
are hungry for high-quality investment opportunities after the collapse
of mortgage-backed securities and the turbulence in the equity markets.
In response to this market demand, banks and private equity firms
have raised funds to invest in major infrastructure projects. According to
McKinsey & Company, the world's 20 largest private infrastructure funds
have nearly $130 billion under management, with 77 percent of it raised over
the last two years alone.
a href="#endnotes">9
This represents an enormous opportunity for funding our infrastructure
needs. One way to seize that opportunity is to create an American version of
the European Investment Bank (EIB), which has a half-century track record
of success in financing productivity-enhancing projects.
The EIB was founded under the terms of the 1957 Treaty of Rome as
the long-term lending institution of the European Union (EU ). The EIB is
owned by the member states of the EU , who make an initial contribution to
the bank's capital-reserve fund according to their relative GD P. Otherwise,
the bank is fully self-financing, borrowing on the financial markets to issue
loans, and does not take any funds from the EU budget. The EIB operates
autonomously, is a non-profit, and makes lending decisions based on the
following charter criteria:
- Investments must help achieve EU objectives;
- These investments must be economically, financially, technically, and
environmentally sound; and
- They should help attract other sources of funding (the EIB cannot lend
more than 50 percent of the total cost of an individual project).
Because the EIB's shareholders are the EU member states, its debt carries the
highest possible credit rating (AAA) on the money markets, allowing it to
generate capital on very competitive terms. Borrowers range from small businesses
to national governments. While repayment terms may vary, all loans
must be paid back to the bank.
In 2007, the EIB raised 55 billion euros on the
capital markets and made new loans totaling
47.8 billion euros10 -- 85 percent of which
went toward further improvements to EU
airports, highways, bridges, railroads, and
other vital infrastructure. The remainder
supported development projects around
the globe.
Your administration should establish an American Investment Bank (AIB),
following the model of the EIB. The AIB could be staked with an initial
capital-reserve fund from the federal government and one-time membership
fees from the states.11 The AIB could then raise funds for infrastructure
loans by issuing debt instruments backed by the government's credit
rating. The skyrocketing growth in private investment funds shows that
there is a large -- and still untapped -- market for infrastructure-backed assets.
This market is a ready source of funds for public-private partnership
in infrastructure investment.
The AIB, like the EIB, should have a charter that sets out clear investment
goals. These should include the following:
- Projects should be evaluated based on sound economic criteria and their
environmental impact;
- Such projects should promote community economic development and
broad-based economic opportunity; and
- They should promote the maintenance and public safety of existing
critical infrastructure.
A self-financing institution like a new AIB could raise funds for infrastructure
investment without raising taxes. In addition, such an entity -- if given
sufficient autonomy -- could evaluate infrastructure projects based on sound
economic criteria and not pork-driven local interests.
Unlike the current system of annual federal budgeting for projects, which
encourages congressmen to find funds for local projects regardless of larger
economic value, the AIB would raise its own funds and issue loans. This
would give the bank an incentive to make loans to economically viable projects,
since a failure to do so would expose the bank to the risk of default. The
fact that the AIB would not rely on annual or continued federal financing
means it would be free to evaluate loan proposals on their economic merits
rather than on purely political terms.
These qualities of self-financing and autonomy would enable the AIB to
allocate long-term capital more easily than annual budgeting can, and will
have the added benefit of cutting down on wasteful public spending. The
charter goals of the AIB would prohibit it from financing "bridges to nowhere,"
because projects would have to promote economic development and
be evaluated on sound economic principles.
Like the war-bond program during World War II, AIB infrastructure
bonds would allow ordinary Americans to "invest in America" to help meet
the infrastructure challenge and promote responsible citizenship. In addition
to the civic and patriotic benefits of such a program, Americans will benefit
from the opportunity to purchase a new high-quality savings instrument.
Finally, the AIB would be ideally suited to make loans to joint public-private
partnerships. This would make it easier for local communities to attract private
partners, and would allow states and localities to tap into the more than $100
billion in private funds currently available for investment opportunities. Over
time, the AIB could also provide technical advice to localities looking to reproduce
previous AIB infrastructure projects.
America's infrastructure is in need of significant repairs, but increased demand
cannot be met by tax-based government funds alone. An American Investment
Bank would be able to raise funds for infrastructure development,
promote public-private partnerships, and allocate funds efficiently without
being subject to some of the pitfalls of annual budgeting. In addition, offering
infrastructure-backed bonds is a great way to encourage ordinary Americans
to participate while raising funds without raising taxes. In short, this is
a policy that you would do well to consider. There is much to gainand no
time to lose.