What does a new president do when his predecessor from the other party
has left a record of unprecedented prosperity? If you're George W. Bush,
you argue that the American economy is in deep trouble and that the only
cure is a 10-year, $2 trillion tax cut.
That argument's economic problems are explained elsewhere in this issue.
But it's worth recalling that during his presidential campaign, Bush used
a different justification for his tax-cut plan: fairness. When government
takes in more revenues than it needs, he insisted, it's only fair to return
the excess to taxpayers.
In one respect, President Bush is right. The tax system's fairness does
matter. Paying taxes is most Americans' chief point of contact with the
government. And for many of us, it's the closest approximation we have
to a common civic experience. Moreover, since tax collections in the United
States depend vitally on voluntary compliance, cynicism may rise and revenues
may fall if people feel the tax system is tilted against them.
But the president couldn't be more wrong about his proposal's fairness.
By providing far greater tax benefits to the wealthy than to the middle
class and the poor, it would make the tax system less progressive across
the income scale. What's fair about that?
At bottom, Bush's claim that fairness demands his tax cuts draws on the
conservative view (articulated most clearly by Ronald Reagan) that a person's
income should generally be beyond the government's reach because it flows
from an individual's own efforts. (Of course, this tenet doesn't prevent
conservatives from simultaneously arguing that inheritances should also
be tax-free.) If individual effort were the only factor that determined
income, this argument would be sound. But there's more to income than
effort.
To make their case on tax fairness, conservatives misrepresent the character
of both markets and democracy. A democratic society probably cannot maintain
itself without individual property rights. But individuals make economic
choices and produce property within associations and corporations that
are the products of law and of communities' political decisions. While
hardly anyone enjoys paying taxes, most citizens in democracies choose
to contribute some of their private resources to provide public goods
and services. Moreover, paying taxes in a democracy embodies a civic relationship
of mutual responsibility. People's obligation to pay them is as legitimate
as any other public duty.
The conservative view on tax fairness also assumes away the countless
economic and social differences that arise in a market-based society and
that affect individuals' ability to contribute to the common enterprise.
Tax fairness for conservatives often comes down to treating everyone as
an equal tax unit, which is why many on the right favor a flat tax (in
which everyone pays the same percentage), or even a head tax (in which
everyone pays the same amount). In a country where government costs are
significant and people have a vast range of resources, a flat tax or head
tax that leaves some people without the means to support themselves cannot
be fair.
President Bush's tax plan, of course, does not go nearly so far, and
it would even reduce the tax burden on some moderate-income people. Nonetheless,
its essential reliance on flawed conservative tax principles is clear.
Ignoring the circumstances of the rich and the poor and the far greater
capacity of the wealthy to shoulder current tax burdens, he would provide
much greater tax benefits to the wealthy than to the poor or the middle
class. And ignoring the heavy burden of payroll taxes on low-income families,
he limits his tax cuts to income-tax payers.
In contrast, the progressive approach to taxation recognizes the real-world
consequences that flow from people's varying circumstances. It holds that
people should pay taxes according to their individual ability to do so.
The result is a tax system that exempts the poor and applies to everyone
else tax rates and relative tax burdens that increase with income and
vary with family makeup and age.
The progressive case also appreciates that in a market-based society,
people's incomes reflect not only their efforts but also other conditions
and circumstances that they do not control. It recognizes that although
the market's distribution of incomes may be economically efficient in
a narrow sense, it cannot be the final word on economic justice. If differences
in people's incomes reflected only how hard they worked, then perhaps
it would be unjust to tax wealthy people more heavily than others. But
income differences reflect much more than effort, if only because people
don't start in the same place. People are born with different talents
and come to age in families, neighborhoods, and cultures with different
resources. And plain luck often plays a role.
America's wide-open markets intensify these factors' effects, so that
those gifted with more talent, education, and self-discipline than others
can prosper greatly. This is especially true compared to many other advanced
countries whose markets and laws are not as hospitable to the prosperous
as ours. The economic benefits of wide-open markets are large, but one
of the social costs is often harsh inequalities. The wealthy have a responsibility,
then, to bear not merely an equal share of the burden but a greater share,
because they enjoy a larger share of the benefits provided by our laws
and markets. And when accidents of birth or luck impair people's ability
to succeed, a progressive tax system can provide them with some means
and opportunity to participate more fully in the economy.
Progressive taxation has a strong claim to protecting individuality as
well as justice because it also can curb concentrations of economic power
and provide poor families with resources they need to live independently.
Economic justice is linked to equality of opportunity, a social achievement
that progressive taxation advances by changing the market's distribution
of income. Changing this distribution is a basic measure of progressive
tax fairness: After paying taxes, those at the top are left with a smaller
share of the nation's total income than they had before, and those at
the bottom with a larger share.
A progressive tax system like ours can ameliorate the worst poverty.
But it cannot create economic equality. Lifting tens of millions of poor
people into the middle class by direct income transfers, financed by taxes,
would require much higher tax burdens on almost everyone. Meanwhile, at
the top of the income distribution, the income tax applies only to people's
incomes and not to their accumulated wealth, and so can only modestly
affect concentrations of wealth and economic power.
Despite its limitations, the current federal tax system contains six
progressive elements that advance fairness. For poor Americans, (1) an exemption for initial income protects them from the income tax,
and (2) the Earned Income Tax Credit, in effect, refunds part of the payroll
tax and other tax payments of working-poor families. For everyone else, (3) the tax rates on personal income rise from 15 percent to nearly 40 percent as a person's income increases. And for the richest Americans, (4) most of the value of their personal deductions is phased out at high-income
levels; (5) the federal corporate tax affects mainly owners of capital,
who are predominantly affluent; and (6) estate taxes affect only inheritances
above $675,000, a threshold that will gradually rise to $1 million after
2005.
The current tax system also has significant regressive elements. For
instance, the payroll-tax burden declines as income rises, while the tax
benefits from most deductions and exemptions increase with income. In
addition, the system provides higher-income people with large tax benefits
for saving and investing, which the middle-class and poor often cannot
afford.
The result is a tax system that is progressive at the top and bottom
but not the middle. After paying all their taxes, poor Americans end up
with a larger share of national income than they began with, and wealthy
people end up with a smaller share. For most middle-class Americans, however,
the tax system is more flat than progressive: They end up with roughly
the same share of national income post-tax as they had pre-tax.
What's the bottom line on President Bush's tax plan? Simply put, it is
unfair. It would make the system less progressive across the income scale.
President Bush would significantly weaken two of the current system's
six progressive elements -- by cutting the top tax rate more than other
rates and by ending the estate tax. The plan also would intensify a regressive
feature in the current system, under which Americans' tax rates and tax
bills rise more steeply as they progress from poverty to the middle class
than they do as they advance from middle class to affluence. President
Bush also would provide no tax benefits at all to the poorest working
Americans, who pay high payroll taxes but no income tax, and scant benefits
to middle-income people who pay more payroll taxes than income taxes.
To be sure, these generally regressive effects on moderate and middle-income
people are softened for those who also have children, but not for anyone
else.
By disproportionately benefiting wealthy people and leaving out the poorest
workers, the president's proposal would unavoidably increase economic
inequality. And that is contrary to the basic tenets of fairness.