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PPI | Trade Fact of the Week | January 23, 2008
World Stock Market Losses This Week: ~$3 Trillion


Editor's Notes: The PPI "Trade Fact of the Week" is a weekly email newsletter published by PPI's Trade & Global Markets Project. To sign up for a free subscription, click here. (Just make sure to check the box next to "Trade & Global Markets.")

Original links are included though some may have expired.


The Numbers:

World stock market capitalization, December 2007: ~$63 trillion
World stock market capitalization, January 22, 2008: ~$50 trillion?

What They Mean:

Looking back upon the 1920s in his book The Great Crash, John Kenneth Galbraith wrote:

"Never before or since have so many become so wondrously, so effortlessly and so quickly rich... Perhaps it was worth being poor for a long time, to be so rich for just a little while."

In the last decade, fewer have briefly gotten rich. In the next, it is to be hoped, fewer will be poor. That said: At the end of 1997, in the midst of the Asian financial crisis, world stock market domestic capitalization (i.e. of local firms only, to avoid duplication for firms listed on several exchanges) totaled $21.6 trillion. This was about 70 percent of the year's $30.1 trillion world GDP. The International Federation of Stock Exchanges' report for December 2007 placed the domestic market capitalization of its 51 stock exchange members -- from the little exchanges in Bermuda, Colombia, Malta, and Mauritius at $3 billion to $7 billion apiece; to the gigantic New York Stock Exchange at nearly $16 trillion -- at $63 trillion, or 110 percent of the $57 trillion global GDP. Two observations:

  • In 1997, NYSE's $10.3 trillion in domestic market capitalization was almost half of total world domestic market capitalization. The $16.3 trillion figure for 2007 is much bigger, but makes up only a quarter of the world total, as European market capitalization has tripled and there has been six-fold growth in Asia. For the record: After NYSE come the London, NASDAQ, "Euronext" (combining the Amsterdam, Paris, and Brussels exchanges, and owned by NYSE since 2006) and Tokyo exchanges, each above $4 trillion. Then Hong Kong and Shanghai at $3 trillion each, and Germany and Toronto at $2 trillion. Switzerland, Stockholm, Milan, Madrid, India National, Bombay, Australia, and Sao Paulo all came in between $1 trillion and $2 trillion.
  • Between late December and yesterday's Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, most major stock indexes had dropped by more than 10 percent, and several by 20 percent. NYSE's S&P 500 was down from 1500 to 1310, or by 13 percent, and London's FTSE was also down by 13 percent. Germany's DAX is down 15 percent, Tokyo's Nikkei is down 20 percent, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng 23 percent. Using these indexes as a rough approximation of total value, a 15 percent drop in market capitalization worldwide would be a loss of about $9 trillion. This is about equal to the combined annual GDP's of China, India, and Southeast Asia combined; or the United States minus the southern states; or the combined GDP's of Germany, Britain, France, Italy, and the Netherlands.

Further Reading:

What to do? Interest rate cuts and stimulus packages for growth; PPI's Paul Weinstein has ideas for emergency support for Americans with sub-prime mortgages:
http://www.ppionline.org/ppi_ci.cfm?kaid=125
&subid=162&contentid=254479

Count how much money you had, last month -- the World Federation of Exchanges has market capitalization, equity, etc. statistics up to December 2007:
http://www.world-exchanges.org/WFE/
home.asp?action=document&menu=10

Crisis literature -- The worst financial crisis of recent memory, Asia's 1997-1999 siege, has left little memorable English-language literature. Nor have the dot.com collapses a few years later produced much beyond journalistic accounts and rueful memoirs. The classic financial-crisis reading list:







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