The U.S. economy has undergone a profound structural transformation in the
last decade and a half. The information technology revolution has expanded well
beyond the cutting-edge high-tech sector. It has shaken the very foundations of the
old industrial and occupational order, redefined the rules of entrepreneurship and
competition, and created an increasingly global marketplace for a myriad of new
goods and services. In short, a New Economy has emerged. Yet while economic
reality is fundamentally changing, much of our public policy framework remains
rooted in the past.
This mismatch between public policy and economic reality is not sustainable.
On one side of the political spectrum, policymakers advocate across-the-board tax
cuts, a dramatically reduced role for government, and elimination of social
regulations. This does nothing to support the underlying factors propelling growth
in the New Economy: technological innovation, e-commerce and digital
transformation, higher education and skills, open trade, and a balanced budget. An
every-man-for-himself ethos risks leaving behind Americans who are struggling to
cope with the dynamism of the New Economy. On the other side of the political
spectrum, policymakers advocate increased spending on top-down social programs
geared toward income redistribution, coupled with a focus on command-and-control
regulation through bureaucratic institutions, ignoring just how entrepreneurial,
fast moving, and flexible our economy has become. Furthermore, resistance from
both ends of the political spectrum to open trade, global integration, and
technological and organizational change threatens to slow the economic changes
that hold great potential to yield higher standards of living for American workers.
Over time, policy frameworks must adapt to changing underlying economic and
social realities. Turn-of-the-century industrialization triggered the development of
new institutions and policies in the Progressive Era. Likewise, the rise of a
national mass production, industrial economy in the 1940s led to the emergence of
the post-New Deal, Keynesian policy framework. But during the rocky and
turbulent transitional period from the mid-1970s to the mid-1990s -- when the old
economy was collapsing but the New Economy had not yet emerged -- that
consensus broke down. Too often, one side devoted its energies to preserving rather
than reforming existing policies and programs, while the other side fought to tear
down the institutions of government entirely, guided largely by economic views that
made more sense in the pre-mass production economy of the turn of the 20th
century.
Now that the New Economy has emerged, we must foster a new consensus
around a new framework for government and public policy. This framework must
be consistent with the unique properties and logic of the New Economy. These
characteristics include an increase in knowledge-based jobs, higher levels of
entrepreneurial dynamism and competition, reduced delays between design and
production, faster times to market, increased product and service diversity, constant
technological innovation, the advent of the Internet and the information technology
revolution, globalization, the replacement of hierarchical organizational structures
with networked learning organizations, and relentless economic churning. These
are more than economic fads or passing trends; they go to the heart of how the New
Economy works.
The Progressive Policy Institute formed the New Economy Task Force to weigh
these issues and to develop a set of guiding principles for rethinking the role of
government in the Information Age. Here, the New Economy Task Force lists ten
key "rules of the road" to guide policymakers. These rules should not be
seen as absolute injunctions that cannot be breached in any situation. These rules
are not tailored to suit any particular technology, nor should they have to evolve to
keep pace with each new innovation. Rather, they are signposts intended to guide
policymakers at the local, state, and federal levels as they craft a policy framework
for the New Economy.
New economic research shows that innovation plays a central role in
productivity growth in the New Economy. Innovation and productivity are the
prerequisites for higher wages and expanded opportunity for American workers and
are critical to addressing a host of social needs, from averting a future Social
Security crisis, to improving human health, to solving global warming. As a result,
government must be on the side of policies that boost innovation and foster higher
productivity and against policies that seek only to divide a slowly growing pie,
protect or reward special interests at the expense of overall economic progress, or
slow down the process of change. But at the same time, government must play a
key role in providing workers and communities with the skills and tools they need
to successfully navigate turbulent waters and prosper.
Innovation and change are disruptive. They displace workers; they cause firms,
and even entire industries, to fail; they lead to industrial and economic
restructuring in cities and sometimes even whole regions; and they upset
traditional ways of doing things, making some skills obsolete. There is every reason
to believe that this will be just as true, if not more so, in the New Economy.
Because innovation and change are disruptive, they tend to spark strong political
demands to insulate affected segments of the economy and slow down economic
change.
Such demands, while understandable, inherently deny opportunities to less
politically powerful interests in the guise of "protecting" those with
clout. As a result, to effectively promote growth in the New Economy, government
must facilitate, rather than resist, the processes of economic change and
modernization as these changes create new opportunities and increased incomes for
all Americans. A key lesson of American economic history is that the broad benefits
of innovation and change vastly outweigh the short-term costs associated with
disruption. This is particularly true in the New Economy, where innovation and
change are creating more jobs than they are eliminating and are driving
productivity and wage growth.
Ensuring that the benefits of innovation and change are spread broadly will
require that all Americans, including those not yet engaged in or benefitting from
the New Economy, have access to the tools and resources they need to get ahead
and stay ahead.
As the economy has become increasingly volatile and knowledge-based,
success for people, organizations, and entire communities is more than ever
determined by the ability to learn and adapt. Government needs to counterbalance
the tendency toward a new division of society around learning and skills.
As the economy churns--destroying some jobs while creating others--government
needs to ensure that employee benefits are portable, that workers can access a
state-of-the-art system of rapid re-employment, and that all workers have expanded
opportunities for capital ownership. In a skill and knowledge-based economy,
government must provide every American with access to continuous and affordable
life-long education.
As information technology becomes an increasingly important driver of the
economy (and a determinant of worker skill requirements), and as it becomes an
increasingly vital tool for accessing information and participating in civic life,
government needs to enable widespread access by ensuring that public libraries,
schools, job centers, community centers, and all regions of the nation are connected
to the Internet and that individuals have the skills they need to use these
technologies.
To spur innovation and equip citizens to win in the New Economy, government
should invest more in the knowledge infrastructure of the 21st century: world class
education, training and life-long learning, science, technology, technology
standards, and other intangible public goods. These are the essential drivers of
economic progress today.
In the new knowledge-based economy, over two-thirds of economic growth stems
from technological innovation. But the knowledge economy is not only about
expanding the frontiers of knowledge; it is about more effective use and
implementation of all kinds of knowledge in all kinds of economic activity. In short,
our competitive success stems from our capacity to innovate. Moreover, skills and
learning not only drive economic growth, they increasingly determine individual
opportunity.
But a global, hyper-competitive, fast-paced economy has made it increasingly
difficult for the private sector to maintain its investments in these kinds of public
goods, especially training and mid- to long-term research. Moreover, publicly
supported research is a key driver of economic growth. (Over 30 percent of U.S.
patents are based on research supported by the public sector, and that share is
increasing.) Therefore, government investments in science and technology should be
increased, and private sector research should be encouraged through the R&D tax
credit and support for collaborative R&D. In addition, in an economy where
competitive success stems increasingly from shared industrial standards, government
needs to support standards setting.
Finally, investments in education and training, including science and
engineering education, are critical to ensuring that companies have the skilled
workers they need to be productive, and that workers have the skills they need to
navigate, adapt, and prosper in the New Economy.
The Internet is a critical component of the emerging digital economy. In the old
economy, the key driver of economic growth was mechanization of production,
particularly in manufacturing and agriculture. In the New Economy, the key driver
will be digitization (using digital information technologies to produce goods and
services), particularly using the Internet and other information technologies in the
service sector, which employs more than 80 percent of working Americans. The
information technology revolution is transforming virtually all industries and is
central to increased economic efficiency and productivity, higher standards of living,
and greater personal empowerment.
Governments must avoid policies and regulations that would inhibit the growth
of the Internet or slow progress by protecting business interests threatened by the
digitization of the economy. Policymakers should craft a legal and regulatory
framework that supports the widespread growth of the Internet and high speed
"broadband" telecommunications, in such areas as taxation, encryption,
privacy, digital signatures, telecommunications regulation, and industry regulation
(in banking, insurance, and securities, for example). However, they must do so in
ways that are fair and responsible. Government can also help spur future growth of
the Internet by co-investing in the information infrastructure, including the Next
Generation Internet (NGI), a collaboration among more than 100 U.S. universities
to develop networking and advanced applications for shared learning and research.
The importance of the Internet also means that we must expand its reach to all
Americans.
In the old economy, government often regulated prices when national markets
were dominated by oligopolies or monopolies. In those cases, the economic costs of
government intervention were manageable, and sometimes necessary. But in the
new, more competitive global economy, distorted prices are much more likely lead to
economically inefficient decisions by consumers and producers and to unfair,
politically driven resource allocation. Therefore, in the absence of clear market
failures, markets, not governments, should set prices of privately provided goods
and services.
In this critical transition period, as the old economy gives way to the New
Economy, policymakers must embrace forward-looking, innovation-producing
investments (e.g., industry-university collaborative R&D) while at the same time,
distinguishing between programs that address legitimate market failures and
industry subsidies that foster economic inefficiency. Government must focus on
increasing investment in the foundation areas of the New Economy: technological
innovation, education, and skills. At the same government must strive to reduce or
eliminate the tariffs, unnecessary price regulations, and the array of government
protections that protect entrenched interests without increasing the economy's
innovative or productive capacity.
Markets are a means, not an end in themselves, and they do not always work as
intended. Government has a responsibility to address the problems stemming from
market failures, through such mechanisms as emissions taxes to reduce pollution or
the R&D tax credit to boost research. Government must also safeguard democratic
values of equal opportunity. Along with establishing rules to ensure fair
competition, it must also support policies to ensure citizens have access to the
information they need to make informed choices.
Economists have long acknowledged that competition keeps prices down. The
New Economy creates another critical reason for competition: competition drives
innovation, and ultimately provides the greatest benefits to consumers and citizens.
Of course, government must continue to provide commonsense health, safety, and
environmental regulations. However, government should move away from
regulating economic competition among firms and instead promote competition to
achieve public interest goals of lower costs, new products and greater consumer
choice. For example, competition in the long distance telecommunications market
has driven down costs and improved the quality of service for consumers. Likewise,
the Federal Communications Commission's goal is to set rules to open
telecommunications markets to robust competition and then step back and ensure
network interoperability, universal service, and consumer protection. Through
minimalist, yet consistent rules, public policy should also ensure that consumers
have the information they need to make educated choices and provide a backstop to
protect consumers and citizens from abuse in markets.
In the New Economy, technology is not just the province of Silicon Valley; it is
the catalyst for profound change throughout the economy and society.
Technological innovation has now become central to addressing a wide range of
public policy goals, including better health care, environmental protection, a
renewed defense base, improved education and training, and reinvented
government. For example, technology provides doctors and patients with state-of-
the-art health information systems that improve the quality of care. Similarly, new
generations of cleaner technologies can dramatically reduce pollution generated by
industrial processes.
We should look for technology-enabled solutions to public problems, but not so
that today's winners are frozen in place at the expense of tomorrow's innovators.
As a case in point, in the 1980s the French government decided to provide free
"Minitel" terminals to all French households. However, because the
Minitel systems are incapable of supporting modern Internet technology, France
now lags significantly behind in Internet usage. Similarly, some U.S. states have
passed legislation locking in particular technical standards for the digital
signatures that allow individual authentication in electronic commerce. Given
today's rapidly changing technological capabilities, locking in any particular
technology through regulation or massive public investment would run similar
risks.
In the old economy, information was a scarce resource to which few outside of
large corporations and governments had access. In the New Economy, constant
innovations in ever-lower-cost information technologies have enabled increasingly
ubiquitous access to information, giving individuals greater power to make
informed choices. Governments should encourage and take advantage of this trend
to address a broad array of public policy questions by ensuring that all Americans
have the information they need as consumers and citizens.
For example, policymakers have required TV manufactures to install technology
such as the V-chip to give parents tools to block objectionable programming from
children. But the application of the principle of providing people with tools and
information to make informed choices goes far beyond gadgetry. Policymakers
could improve the quality of the health care in the United States by enabling
consumers to have ready access to their own health records and more information
about health care providers' track records. That type of transparency has long been
one of the core strengths of our financial markets, where the Securities and
Exchange Commission requires publicly traded companies to open their books so
people can make educated investment decisions. Publishing on-time airline
performance data has spurred an increase in airline efficiency, while requiring long
distance telecommunications companies to publish information on pricing plans has
helped consumers make better choices in a competitive telecommunications market.
Similarly, publishing real-time environmental emissions information could lead to
reduced pollution. Finally, making a wide range of government information
available over the Internet could lead to more open and accountable government.
Government should become as fast, responsive, and flexible as the economy and
society with which it interacts. The new model of governing should be
decentralized, non-bureaucratic, catalytic, results-oriented, and empowering. In
some cases government agencies should be transformed into Performance-Based
Organizations (PBOs) that have both the accountability and flexibility to achieve
publicly defined goals. In other cases, governments should let organizations, both
public and private, compete to deliver public services.
When designing solutions to compelling public concerns, such as reducing
industrial pollution or delivering world-class public education, government should
hold organizations and individuals accountable for meeting goals, while allowing
them flexibility to achieve those goals. In many cases, industry self-regulation can
achieve public policy goals in ways that are more flexible and cost effective than
traditional command-and-control regulation, while also enabling technological
innovation.
For example, in the case of pollution, the government should set clear standards
that protect health and the environment, but where appropriate, government
should encourage companies to devise their own ways of meeting prescribed
standards while maintaining credible monitoring to ensure that standards are
indeed being met. Similarly, to improve the quality of public education,
government should create incentives for schools to set high standards of
achievement. But it should also give schools flexibility in how they implement
programs and hold schools accountable for reaching standards, while encouraging
parental and community involvement in the education process.
Procedurally, governments should use information technologies to
fundamentally reengineer government and provide a wide array of services through
digital electronic means to increase efficiency, cut costs, and improve service.
Digitizing government is the next step in re-engineering government.
In the old economy, bureaucracy was how we addressed many major public
policy problems. In the New Economy, we must rely on a host of new public-
private partnerships and alliances.
In the New Economy, boundaries of all sorts have blurred. In what has been
described as "coopetition," companies are entering into partnerships
and alliances of all forms. Direct competitors in one market may well collaborate on
research and development in another market. Similarly, rather than acting as the
sole funder and manager of bureaucratic programs, New Economy governments
need to co-invest and collaborate with other organizations -- networks of companies,
universities, non-profit community organizations, churches, and other civic
organizations -- to achieve a wide range of public policy goals.
Compared to government, these organizations have a number of advantages.
They are usually closer to the customer and tend to have greater capacity to solve
problems because they can be more flexible, leverage additional resources, and face
bottom-line pressures to boost performance. Yet public policy has only begun to
explore the potential of bottom-up, decentralized networks assuming the lead role
in solving pressing societal problems.
In short, many problems in the New Economy cannot be solved without
government, but government alone can't solve problems. Relying on collaborative
networks does not mean that government should abdicate its policy responsibilities.
It is dangerously naive to hope that private sector voluntary efforts alone will
emerge in a sufficient scale to meet public needs. Rather, government needs to co-
invest in these efforts and foster continuous learning through the sharing of best-
practice lessons. Most importantly, the collaborative network model requires
government to relax its often overly rigid bureaucratic program controls and instead
rely on incentives, information sharing, competition, and accountability to achieve
policy goals.
Blueprint Keywords: Extra Metro